HomeCollege of Arts and SciencesHow Voter Turnout Shaped the 2025 Election

How Voter Turnout Shaped the 2025 Election

Dr. Jonathan Wharton, associate professor of political science and urban affairs, offered expert analysis on NBC Connecticut’s Face the Facts following a dramatic shift in municipal election outcomes across the state and country.

Wharton discussed rising voter turnout in towns like Milford, Branford, and Avon, where early numbers showed significant increases from previous off-year elections — including a 50% turnout in Avon alone. These shifts, he said, were driven by local concerns like affordability, taxes, and national discontent tied to the ongoing federal shutdown.

In conversation with NBC anchor Mike Hydeck, Wharton noted a surprising reversal in towns traditionally dominated by Republican leadership. “Connecticut may be considered a blue state, but many local executive seats have long been held by Republicans. This year, we saw that trend start to shift,” he explained.

Looking ahead, Wharton addressed the early 2026 gubernatorial race, highlighting Governor Ned Lamont’s official entry and the likelihood of a competitive field, including potential Republican challengers Erin Stewart and Ryan Fazio. He emphasized that affordability will remain a key issue, as voters across parties continue to grapple with rising costs of living and utility prices.

Wharton also underscored how these local results may preview national trends heading into the 2026 midterm elections: “Turnout is everything — and what we’re seeing now could be a signal of what’s to come.”

Wharton’s research centers on state and local government, public policy, and economic development, as well as identity and coalition-building politics.

📺 Watch the full Face the Facts segment on NBC Connecticut.

🎙️ Listen to more of Professor Wharton’s political analysis on WICC’s CT Today with Paul Pacelli here.

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